the only past trends that are relevant and come to mind are these two:
1. the human race has and will continue to expand.
2. technological advances are of an unpredictable size and nature.
the human race will grow at the same or at a larger rate because as the population grows, so do the number of people who could produce offspring with one another. if you want to look at past trends, here's a graph supporting an exponential growth that has remained true for the past 4,000 years of human history.
it might slow down how fast the population could have been but without a global power to enforce restrictions to childbirth (and entering the realm of 1984) such a thing is literally impossible. i used to think it would be common sense that two people shouldn't have more than 2 kids. if people left the same amount of space they took up the population would stop growing and remain static. the fact is that most people don't think that way, and would rather have 3+ children. it's unrealistic to expect everyone would share your ideologies. speaking from personal experience, most people would prefer to regard the worlds problems the same way you regarded the numbers on that graph: out of sight, out of mind.
the statistics supporting his claims are sound. human growth growing exponentially. the number of resources declining are not things that you can just ignore and say "it'll all sort out when we develop the new technology".
if i let go of a rock and predict that it will hit the ground, i am not a pessimist/alarmist. i am someone who understands that gravity is an ever-present universal law that will only be avoided if someone invents a device that can make the rock float, builds it, and uses it on said rock before impact (providing they don't miss).
but our existence is in the long run meaningless. there really is no better or worse, those are both concepts developed by the human condition. with us or without us the universe will continue doing what it does none the wiser. furthermore if we do not engage in population control, resources will decline and people will die anyway. even if you denounce his cynical claims we're still left with people killing each other for food. before you call me grim, realize that it's inevitable until we discover mass effect and join the universes intelligent beings in the citadel where we can start worrying about the threat of the reapers.
fair enough, but i don't see where you're drawing that from. i don't smell any hip new technology around the corner, unless it's one of those breakthroughs that the military makes for the sole purpose of pwning and surprises us all with it one fine day.All I'm saying is that in 100 years or so, we'll almost certainly have another breakthrough like that. And if it actually does become a problem, then you can bet that there will be some kind of breakthrough.
sure i'd love to see tomorrow. i'm not suicidal and i have a survival instinct. if you killed me 1 on 1 yeah that's murder, plain and simple. but if there was a planned genocide which i became a victim of, which allowed my children to lead a better life, i don't think i'd be cursing it from the afterlife. don't get me wrong, i'd do anything while i'm alive to make their lives better, but if it would improve not just their lives but the lives of everyone on the planet 100% guaranteed then i'd have no problem taking one for the team.Ok, so we're not important with regards to the universe and the continuation of time, and making sure atoms keep spinning at the same rate. I bet you'd love to live to see tomorrow. The universe doesn't give a s***. Does that mean it's right for me to kill you?
fair enough, but i don't see where you're drawing that from. i don't smell any hip new technology around the corner, unless it's one of those breakthroughs that the military makes for the sole purpose of pwning and surprises us all with it one fine day.
sure i'd love to see tomorrow. i'm not suicidal and i have a survival instinct. if you killed me 1 on 1 yeah that's murder, plain and simple. but if there was a planned genocide which i became a victim of, which allowed my children to lead a better life, i don't think i'd be cursing it from the afterlife. don't get me wrong, i'd do anything while i'm alive to make their lives better, but if it would improve not just their lives but the lives of everyone on the planet 100% guaranteed then i'd have no problem taking one for the team.
We just need to stop offering aid to the third world countries so they'll die out. If you thought the environmental situation was bad enough now, just wait a few years until the majority of the third world countries start burning oil and other non-renewable sources for energy. Then the sh** will hit the fan.
Just look at China over the last few years; they're popping up oil-based energy plants quite literally at a rate of one per day.
not selfish, just based on the false assumption that you'd have a choice in the matter. i don't think that mass genocides leave much room for volunteers ahead of time :cheez:First of all: thats fine for you to want to do that. I might not want to do that, though. I might want to experience the future for myself, instead of giving it to someone else. Selfish? Probably, but like you said, the universe doesn't care.
not selfish, just based on the false assumption that you'd have a choice in the matter. i don't think that mass genocides leave much room for volunteers ahead of time :troll:
I'm just hoping that in 50 years or so, modern medicine will have progressed to the point where we have eminated ageing and death. Considering the rapid advance of technology today, it's not unforseeable.
First of all: thats fine for you to want to do that. I might not want to do that, though. I might want to experience the future for myself, instead of giving it to someone else. Selfish? Probably, but like you said, the universe doesn't care.
There are few things I'd be willing to trade my life for, and the safety of someone else's is one of them. You probably don't believe that, but it's true.
Not sure if these two apply together, but I remember you mentioning this awhile ago.
I don't know if we need to go quite that far. You're forgetting that the vast majority of the world's population exists in those countries, and they don't all want coal energy. The developed world has to put research into cheap renewable energy, and lead by example with it. Offer them cheap renewable energy facilities and they wont need coal.
Besides, once we run out of the stuff it wont matter anyway.